Besliskunde

Website:website containing additional information
Course code:INFOBK
Credits:7.5 ECTS
Period:periode 3 (week 6 t/m 16, dwz 4-2-2008 t/m 18-4-2008; herkansing week 22)
Timeslot:D
Participants:up till now 16 subscriptions
Schedule:Dit is een oud rooster!
formgrouptimeweekroomteacher
college   wo 13-156-11,13-15 BBL-475 Silja Renooij
 
vr 13-156-11,13-15 BBL-475
Contents:The aim of this course is to acquire knowledge and understanding of different models and decision analysis techniques for (rational) decision making with and without uncertainty. Roughly, the following subjects will be discussed:
  • decision criteria
  • decision trees
  • utility theory
  • multi attribute decision making
  • analyses of uncertainties

The first part of the course focusses on how to perform a decision analysis for a person or company facing a difficult decision. The remainder of the course is of a more theoretical nature. The former is discussed at length in Clemen's book; for the latter we mostly rely on material from the transparancies.

Literature:
  • Robert T. Clemen: Making Hard Decisions -- An Introduction to Decision Analysis. Second Edition, Duxbury Press, 1996. ISBN 0534260349 (green cover)

    or

    Robert T. Clemen, Terence Reilly: Making Hard Decisions -- With DecisionTools. Duxbury Press. 2001 edition: ISBN 0534365973 (blue cover), or the updated 2004 edition.

    (both can be ordered from Broese (may take 4 weeks), or directly from Duxbury Press; you can also try A-Eskwadraat. Please note that prices may vary considerably!)

  • Transparencies (online)

  • Studymanual (online)
Course form:Lectures twice a week. In addition, a practical assignment will be given.
Exam form:A practical assignment
(1/3 of final grade)
+
A written exam
(2/3 of final grade)

Minimum effort to qualify for 2nd chance exam:To qualify for a 2nd chance for either the practical assignment or the written exam, it is required that

- the partial result obtained at the first attempt was less than a 5.0;
- the other partial result was at least a 5.0 at the first attempt.
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